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> US-centric approach. How about if China decides to fill the power vacuum that the isolationist US leaves. How about if they decide to protect their shipping routes with their military so that they carry on with providing goods to the globe.

That already covered by option 2 in the op ("2 The Rise Of China"). It's not a very interesting option to discuss when it comes to shipping (e.g. everything stays the same, except Chinese warships substituted for American).




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