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This is a bit of a shallow understanding of things. They were a lot closer 6 years ago to annexing Taiwan than they are now.

Diplomatic: Official allies matter less and less. The deepening unofficial ties with the US and Japan (I can cite examples here if you like) are much, much more important. If the current trend continues, ties between Taiwan and the US will be unofficial by name only. Dual recognition by stealth.

Militarily: Taiwans problems here are well known. But Taiwan has a free and very critical press, and will gladly tear into their military for clicks. This is not the case for China, god knows what problems it has (though the skirmish with India probably gives you some clues). You call the US military war weary, I call it highly experienced at waging war.

Economic: China is completely dependent on global trade. To act otherwise is laughable.




The US military isn’t war weary. The US public is. And ultimately any US politician who launches yet another war will likely lose their job very quickly.

Obviously China is dependent on world trade. What’s laughable is not reading what I wrote, in that China can afford to lose trade ties with one or two nations, although not all at the same time. Whereas no single country can afford to lose China. That gives China the high ground - it can threaten any single country with a boycott. And it has done so successfully.


Any US conflict with China over Taiwan is not going to be a 20 year occupation of a territory that doesn't want them there. It would be primarily a naval/air conflict, and over rather quickly.

Which Chinese economic boycott was successful in achieving their goals? You surely can't point to the Australian one.




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