Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

We make those choices all the time.

Taking a plane instead of driving is similar. You lose direct control, but it's orders of magnitude safer.

I'll take a 0.001% chance of death over a 0.1% chance every time.




I'll take 0.1% chance of death which I (arguably) can control, over a 0.001% chance of death which I absolutely cannot control at all.

It's so clear to me. Yes, taking a plane is similar, but I only take that risk a couple of times a year.

The 0.1% (to me) is a probability number as I have some control over each event. The probability is so low that it likely never will happen.

The 0.001% number is an eventual outcome number. "Run the experiment X amount of times, and death will happen 0.001% of the time". And it's more relevant than flying as we drive so much more.

Nope! Thanks!


That's not how statistic works




Consider applying for YC's Spring batch! Applications are open till Feb 11.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: