Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login
U.S. Fed reverse repo volume hits record $1T (leaderpost.com)
19 points by grapehut on July 30, 2021 | hide | past | favorite | 14 comments



I don't even comprehend numbers that large moving that quickly. Can anyone better at understanding economics explain what this means to me?


> Can anyone better at understanding economics explain what this means to me?

Reverse repos involve banks buying securities from the Fed in the evening, with the Fed agreeing to buy them back in the morning for another price. Until recently, the first price and second price were the same. Now, the second price is 0.05% higher (annualised).

Banks are parking a trillion dollars with the Fed overnight. That’s a trillion dollars that won’t be lent, i.e. won’t contribute to growth or inflation.


Does that mean the fed is earning ~$50billion in interest a day?

That seems good for our national budget unless I'm misinterpreting it.


Where are you getting that figure from? 0.05% is $500m.


It's also annualized, so it's $500m over the entire year.

And it's interest earned by the banks, not the Fed.


No, Fed is Paying ~$1.37 Million in interest a day


Why exactly is the 2nd price higher? What purpose does that serve/what does it signal?


I think it incentivizes banks to buy the securities from the Fed (to hold overnight). Otherwise why bother?


it isn't clear what it means if anything.

basically just means banks have way more cash than they know what to do with (due to fed policy), so they are parking it overnight at the fed for close to zero interest.

the fed introduced this program to prevent interest rates from going below zero. they are essentially a floor on the market. and soaking up excess short term liquidity.


> it isn't clear what it means if anything

What it indicates is what the Fed knows and has already signaled: monetary policy is going to be largely ineffectual in the near term.


> monetary policy is going to be largely ineffectual in the near term

The failure mode you're alluding to is a Keynesian liquidity trap [1], a sibling to stagflation (inflation and demand failure): deflation and demand failure.

The American economy shows no failure of aggregate demand. (Quite the opposite.) Inflation expectations are rising. And these reverse repo data shows banks relinquishing liquidity, not hoarding it.

More pointedly, this increase resulted from the FOMC increasing reverse repo rates. That's monetary policy causing intended effects.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquidity_trap


> fed introduced this program to prevent interest rates from going below zero

FOMC repos and reverse repos predate ZIRP.


Inflation with a chance of hyper.


This is to balance the impact of low interest rates on money market funds to avoid them from going into negative rate territory.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: