Transistors Could Stop Shrinking in 2021 (2016)

[cyberlurker]

https://spectrum.ieee.org/semiconductors/devices/transistors-could-stop-shrinking-in-2021

[cyberlurker]

I wanted to share this to ask subject matter experts: how has this prediction held up? I’ve seen recent news of a move to 3nm from Intel. Has this been an overly pessimistic prediction?

[ThrowawayR2 → cyberlurker]

https://www.quora.com/Does-14nm-in-a-processor-mean-that-the...

Plenty of similar explanations exist. tl;dr "3nm" doesn't mean the transistors or anything else on the chip is actually 3nm.