I figured it had something to do with editing, but didn’t know about the “delay” option. So when @samschooler commented, HN Replies[0] contained a link to itself, and that threw me off.
Reminds me of the videos on YouTube that contain their own ID in the content, except you can’t replace your video post upload (unless you’re a major record label…)
Comments have incrementing IDs so without using the delay option you could look at https://news.ycombinator.com/newcomments and try to guess what your comment ID will be before posting, but now you're in a race to be the next comment.
Post comment, get link, "shorten" url, edit comment, boom:
http://www.5z8.info/dogfights_i2z2so_specter-exec