>you only have to assume physics totally different from ours
You don't have to assume anything is true if you don't want to, but if you want to consider whether we're living in a simulation, it's probably worth considering.
>And what would be the point of this simulation that has been running for billions of years?
First, it's billions of years in our time. Second, what's the point of Conway's Game of Life?
> You don't have to assume anything is true if you don't want to, but if you want to consider whether we're living in a simulation, it's probably worth considering.
Which, for me, is a dead end. It's the same as assuming there's a God, except the moral implications are worse.
> First, it's billions of years in our time.
So, if billions of years of our time fly by like your average simulation run in "their" universe, the simulation can't be very meaningful to them. And it makes the distance between our and "their" physics even larger.
> what's the point of Conway's Game of Life?
None, and that's why nobody runs one with 10^120 cells for billions of years. And if somebody did, the result would be incomprehensible. The gap between us and our creators must then be incomprehensible for us. All this is so outlandish, that the word "likely" shouldn't be anywhere near this discussion.
You don't have to assume anything is true if you don't want to, but if you want to consider whether we're living in a simulation, it's probably worth considering.
>And what would be the point of this simulation that has been running for billions of years?
First, it's billions of years in our time. Second, what's the point of Conway's Game of Life?