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Forbidding non-Belarus based flights from flying over Belarus would accomplish that.



also treating this "incident" as a war act


As a war act? What does it mean in terms of practical steps?


Bomb one of their airbases. Russia can annex Crimea with no real response, so why should the EU show restraint? (I am not suggesting a bombing campaign, just a targeted strike on the airbase from which the intercepting fighter jet departed.) What’s Russia going to do? They want that Nord Stream pipeline. They aren’t going to militarily respond over some two bit dictator, even one friendly to Russia. The Nord Stream energy revenue is probably going to be much higher than the entire Belorussian economy.


The closest this scenario can materialize in real life is being printed in one of Tom Clancy's books.

Nobody is going to bomb stuff over this.

And as much as I like labeling EU toothless [1] - banning Belarusian airlines is proportional and "hawkish" response.

[1] - https://news.ycombinator.com/reply?id=27263934&goto=item%3Fi...


> why should the EU show restraint?

... to avoid escalating a single incident into a war, which is one of the reasons it exists?




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