If it must pop in order to be (have been) a bubble then yeah, maybe it never pops, and by that definition it would not have been a bubble, but how long do you have to wait for that to be true?
I don't think that a very weird year or two is sufficient.
A bubble, at least as I understand it, can pop more than once, after all we're not talking about a real physical bubble. Was there a real-estate bubble? I think there was, but prices now make it hard to remember that.
I don't see how my current opinion is at odds with Bitcoin going up util I die and it melts the ice caps, hopefully in that order. If you're asking whether I'd stop thinking it's a bubble, I don't know -- I can be crazy (to miss out on the growth) and also right (if it pops some day).
And of course you're right about "carbon copies" -- I ignored/missed/misread every crypto cycle so far. I'm not above buying some BTC at $100K but I probably won't, for reasons having nothing to do with crypto per se.
I don't think that a very weird year or two is sufficient.
A bubble, at least as I understand it, can pop more than once, after all we're not talking about a real physical bubble. Was there a real-estate bubble? I think there was, but prices now make it hard to remember that.
I don't see how my current opinion is at odds with Bitcoin going up util I die and it melts the ice caps, hopefully in that order. If you're asking whether I'd stop thinking it's a bubble, I don't know -- I can be crazy (to miss out on the growth) and also right (if it pops some day).
And of course you're right about "carbon copies" -- I ignored/missed/misread every crypto cycle so far. I'm not above buying some BTC at $100K but I probably won't, for reasons having nothing to do with crypto per se.