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doubt it's going to happen this time. the current crop of AI research is producing a lot of real results in all kinds of fields. voice transcription, recommender systems, translation, object detection -- all cases where neural networks have gone from research to widespread commercial deployment.

there might be some kind of a contraction when people realize they're not going to get HAL-9000, or that you can't use deep learning to replace every white collar employee. but the results this time are much more "real".

I don't think we will get another AI winter where the entire world completely gives up on the research area.




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