Yea, it's definitely not a small amount, but at the same time, it seems like a very safe bet given the fundamentals of the underlying company. You're basically betting that the volatility will subside within 1 year.
If you're right, your ROI will be (320-240-X)/240 where X is the share price 1 year from now. If X is 30, ROI is 20%. Even if you're wildly wrong, and the share price is still $100 1 year from now, your ROI is only -9%.
If you're right, your ROI will be (320-240-X)/240 where X is the share price 1 year from now. If X is 30, ROI is 20%. Even if you're wildly wrong, and the share price is still $100 1 year from now, your ROI is only -9%.