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Why's it silly? He's buying a commodity business (thats what VOIP is) for 32x earnings.

There's a reason M&A is often referred to as a winner's curse -- because winning the bidding typically means overpaying. The synergies execs often talk about almost -always- fail to be realized.

Shareholders of Microsoft would have been much better off if the company just bought back $8.5bn in stock. A dividend would have been out of the question due to tax repatriation issues.




Having Windows users be able to call each other and every other Skype user right out of the box could be pretty interesting.


Skype already has enough market share that bundling with Windows is not likely to generate enough growth to justify the purchase alone.


Windows has ~4 times as many users as Skype.


Windows users could do this already without Microsoft owning Skype. Users who aren't able to install Skype on their own, probably won't use it anyway.


You mean instead of those out-of-the-box Windows users having to just go to www.skype.com? It's pretty easy to install.


There is a significant difference between bringing in a new product and having that product be a part of the standard install on every laptop/desktop from the perspective of Enterprise IT.


Yes, but wouldn't that get them in trouble because of the anti-monopoly laws? If I remember correctly, they got sued just for bundling IE with Windows, right?


Do you have a source for "32x earnings"? I suspect it's even worse than that. In other HN thread someone mentioned the price was about 300x earnings, and via google I could find this:

Skype's revenues for the first six months of 2010 were $406 million, with a net income of only $13 million.


32x EBITDA (the net income is artifically low thanks to one-off writedowns).


Not only a commodity business, a declining one. A specialized desktop application to chat. Hello, it's 2011, people do web-based peer-to-peer video chat for free. Just, ask the Chatroulette users. Free.

I bet this will go down as one of the most stupid buyouts in history.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_Time_Media_Flow_Protocol


Skype is free for video chat too. And I must say it's worth every penny for its phone line in service when compared to free offerings like Google Voice.




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