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> I'm not including the chance for severe side effects, hospitalization here (I don't know a good data source for those that is age-specific).

From the Scottish Government figures.The hospitalization to confirmed cases breaks down like this for age:

    Age      Cases     Hospitilizations
    0-4      1417       77   (5.4%)
    5-14     3933       44   (1.1%)
    15-19    7766       46   (0.5%)
    20-24    9035       79   (0.8%)
    25-44    28690      867  (3.0%)
Everyone should get the vaccine.



That's confirmed cases so take these figures with a grain of salt. E.g. those are (probably) upper bounds

EDIT: Here are the stats for the seasonal flu: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/past-seasons.html tldr: 1-2% hospitalization average




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