If HN supported DLCs[1], I'd take the under on such a bet. The Apple Silicon DevKit which these guys have had access to since the summer didn't support virtualization (being based on the A12 SoC) but they knew that going in. I'd like to think they got some meaningful work done.
Apple showed Debian running on a prototype Apple Silicon Mac back in June at WWDC. I’d bet they’ll have something before the end of the year.
St Paer-Gotch says that Apple's changes mean the company needs to move its "plumbing" to Apple's new hypervisor framework. And it also relies on software from other companies which are similarly still working to adapt to Apple Silicon.
"We rely on things like Go for the backend of Docker Desktop and Electron for the Docker Dashboard to view your Desktop content," he continued. "We know these projects are hard at work getting ready for M1 chips, and we are watching them closely."
Am I missing where it states Docker is currently working? That seems to indicate that they hope to having it working at some undetermined point in the future.