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It's not clear from the article, but is Turchin only looking at US/North American history? And so do his propositions only apply there?



He says he's looking at the last 10,000 years of history, so no. He also makes explicit reference to the French Revolution.


Thanks, on further though this reminds of Strauss–Howe theory [1] that there are generational cycles in history which tend to related to certain archetypes which repeat again and again.

I really do need to look more into Turchin.

EDIT: LOL, I read the Wikipedia article more closely [1] and it seems Turchin has actually talked about this theory, which he feels is more like prophecy than an actual scientific theory.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss–Howe_generational_theo...




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