On: The Next Decade Could Be Even Worse

[arbitrage]

In the article, it is briefly brought up. Turchin dodges the falsification issue by saying, to paraphrase, "I don't make predictions. That's somebody else's job."

To me, right there, is when my suspicion that this was all huckster social-darwinism malthusian doomsday preaching solidified into certainty.

Put up, or shut up. Or you are not mathematically rigorous, as Turchin claims to be.

[macintux → arbitrage]

I’m curious what you’re looking at to create that paraphrase. He says that about how to fix the problem, but I don’t see him dodging predictions.

[verisimilidude → arbitrage]

Back in 2010, he made prescient predictions about our current state of affairs. That’s why he’s getting attention.