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Was just about to say this. My equity funds are back to ≈85% before pandemic on average. One of them is better than before it. And that is coming from a very highly valued market due for a correction for years.



Stocks are being buoyed by interventions from the Fed. There's a decoupling of the stock market and the economy. Those of us in Tech don't feel the pain much, but in the wider economy layoffs and pain are beginning to spread. Companies that took PPP money had to agree not to lay off people until the fall. Those stipulations end soon and there are large employers (airlines, banks, etc.) that have already announced that they'll have large layoffs in the next month or two. Add in small businesses that are going under (restaurants being hit hard, for example).


Stock market =/= economy. I think a big part of the gains is that everyone is flush with cash with nowhere to invest since the interest rates are basically non-existant/negative.


The stock market isn't the economy right now, but in the long run it is meant to approximate the net present value of a big chunk of the economy.


Whether we’re in a recession is not determined by stock prices. There were recessions before the stock market was invented.


Many here are doing much better, because they invested in specific tech.




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