> Now, given the UK example, if the vaccine causes 10 deaths, and 1000 severe reactions(ie hospitalised) thats still better than the 200k deaths and close to a million cases with complications
The anti vaccination optics, of a vaccine killing people, would be so bad the resulting vaccination resistance could lead to millions of deaths.
Yes, statistics maybe say that it would be a good deal now. But if you assume it fuels the antivac fire and decreases measles vaccination by 10% for the next 10 years, then we are looking at a death toll 10-100 times larger than COVID in the future, from that disease alone.
Do you have a source for that? All I've seen is evidence that antibodies disappear after a while in many subjects but that is not at all the same thing.
I hope that reinfection with this virus is less likely, but I don't think we yet have any data to suggest that it is much different than existing coronaviruses.
> Preliminary data is pointing toward covid immunity lasting for only a few months.
As far as I know, that's not true at all.
A King's College study has shown that the level of B cells in former patients blood declinened quickly after a few months. Still there has yet to be a study on T cells level and T cells seem to play a more important role than B cells in covid immunity.
The anti vaccination optics, of a vaccine killing people, would be so bad the resulting vaccination resistance could lead to millions of deaths.
Yes, statistics maybe say that it would be a good deal now. But if you assume it fuels the antivac fire and decreases measles vaccination by 10% for the next 10 years, then we are looking at a death toll 10-100 times larger than COVID in the future, from that disease alone.