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If the immunity lasts for 4 months, we are talking about yearly vaccinating 200% of the population.

It's not impossible for countries with a small population, but AFAIK the flu is the largest scale vaccination in the world, and we are talking about something 4 times larger (than those countries that vaccinate the most - how are China and India numbers?).

But then, this seems to be the worst case with a reasonable likelihood. Things will probably be better.




The big difficulty with flu isn't _usually_ a production shortfall, though; it's that people don't want to get the vaccine.

COVID is much scarier than flu, which should encourage people.


Whenever I hear concerns about vaccine production capacities I have to think of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_aircraft_product...




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