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The extra deaths thing also seems sketchy to me, this early after the outbreak. If someone was within ±12 months of dying and the coronavirus got them, then the death rates of the past month would be higher while the death rates of the next year would still be the same. We are too early to make any statements of fact about it.



You can wait a bit more and average things, but anyway this last point is not part of miss-categorization point I was replying to.


> this last point is not part of miss-categorization point I was replying to

Yes, you're right, and I realized that just as I made the post. But I still don't think that normal rates of death automatically equal coronavirus didn't kill anyone.


You will have a margin of error , my main point is that even if some politicians will push too miss=categorize the deaths, if the numbers are sufficiently large things can't be hidden that way.

Do you have any statistics that show that if I die of COVID then this imply that my probability to live 1 more year was very slim without COVID? This kind of number as less then 1 year seems very non-scientific and more something you would use to push your opinion, like yes 400K people died but 99% of them would ahve been dead anyway in a few months


On a related topic "City [St Petersburg] issues 1,552 more death certificates in May than last year, but Covid-19 toll was 171" https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/04/st-petersburg-...




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