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60,000 (TORCH report) cancer deaths overall

Thanks for pointing that out one more time. I'm not an anti-nuclear zealot but I'm getting extremely tired of supposedly intelligent people citing the "35 deaths" bullshit-figure on HN in each japan-thread.

If there had been only 35 or 4000 deaths then Chernobyl would not be considered a catastrophic event up to this day. Instead it would be considered a testament to the safety of the technology.

I wonder if the part that these people have trouble wrapping their head around is the latency?

This is what happens during a nuclear accident: Nothing. At the very worst we may see a few hundred immediate deaths. Other than that, life goes on.

The real aftermath kicks in 10-20 years later, when people start developing cancer and birth defects. Different sources report different figures for Chernobyl, partly due to political bias, and partly because it's just really hard to track >600k people over such a long timeframe.

However, the estimates from most sources other than the IAEA and the russian government range in the tens of thousands - quite a long shot from "35".




>If there had been only 35 or 4000 deaths then Chernobyl would not be considered a catastrophic event up to this day. Instead it would be considered a testament to the safety of the technology.

Doubt it. Nobody says Three Mile Island was a testament to the safety of nuclear power, and the harm was pretty small, unambiguously less harm than 35 dead: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Mile_Island_accident#Heal....


> If there had been only 35 or 4000 deaths then Chernobyl > would not be considered a catastrophic event up to this > day.

It wouldn't. Oil and coal industry killed waaay more people. Heck, take Banqiao Dam alone. Nobody cares. Water is safe, nuclear is scaaaaaary.


I was watching a documentary about Chernobyl a while ago and some of the birth defects are extremely severe.




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