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Otoh probabilities are hard to check for correctnessso you can weaael out of being wrong by making everything you say a motte-bailey deception (to use a slatestarcodex term).



That's why it's important to be precise in describing what you mean (which may involve explaining the intended meaning when using a common word), so that you can't back-track on it later. Conversely, when you see someone not doing that, be prepared for the possibility of weaseling out.


It’s ok to be wrong though.




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