Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

From the disclaimer: COVID-19 data is the number of ACTUAL US deaths since March 15th, 2020 as reported on Worldometer against the backdrop of the EXTRAPOLATED DAILY number of deaths for top 15 causes of death in the US based on the latest (2018) data from the CDC.



And crucially ignores the reduction in deaths from heart failure, road traffic, etc. at this time


If the objective is to put the risk in perspective, then comparing to normal times makes more sense. Our perceived risk of dying in a car crash is based on the times we are actually normally driving and not when we are quarantined at home.


Heart failure sure

but road traffic related deaths? Really? COVID-19 is not causing a decrease in road traffic deaths, the reaction to COVID-19 is. So, why would that data ever be relevant when talking about the disease?


Because that also needs to be factored in when trying to determine causes

If total deaths doesn't change, but road traffic deaths are down by 500, that means non-road-traffic deaths are up 500

You need a complete picture to draw conclusions




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: