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This is effectively stopping the economy and creates all sorts of rippling effects.

US has awful social support and this will hit the working population really hard.

The best case I see is we can ramp up testing kits and masks to 100s of millions. Test everyone repeatedly. Track and quarantine rigorously. At the same time give monthly stipends to everyone while “sit in a hole or die” order is going on.

Make sure banks don’t foreclose, people still have insurance and jobs (too late for some parts like hotels and restaurants).

I can see why people are panicking and buying guns in poor neighborhoods. We’re putting people on survival mode.

We first downplayed this for a long time when we had a 2 month head start (Thanks Trump and team) and still feel unprepared for the worst.




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