Thanks, TIL. For those like me who paused at R₀ (r-naught), quote from wiki[1]:
> R-naught is the average number of people infected from one other person, for example, Ebola has an r-naught of two, so on average, a person who has Ebola will pass it on to two other people.
See “Limitations of R₀” too: when solely derived from math models, “values [of R₀] should be used with caution” and “this severely limits its usefulness.”.
As I understand, take it for what it is: model not gospel.
Yes, quarantines and public awareness will reduce the spread quite significantly. Hopefully to the point that less than one person gets infected per sick individual.
> R-naught is the average number of people infected from one other person, for example, Ebola has an r-naught of two, so on average, a person who has Ebola will pass it on to two other people.
See “Limitations of R₀” too: when solely derived from math models, “values [of R₀] should be used with caution” and “this severely limits its usefulness.”.
As I understand, take it for what it is: model not gospel.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number