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> why not take out a short position?

To quote John Maynard Keynes, “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent"




Yup. And the cost of time on Tesla options right now is insane. $590 puts for April cost ~$66.


That's not the cost of time you're seeing; it's the implied volatility.


Sorry for the delayed response--- didn't see your comment.

An option's value is its intrinsic value, plus its time value. The time value of an option is mostly sigma, yes.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Option_time_value#Time_value




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