> So let me ask the community: what heuristics do you employ when trying to decide whether you can trust a book on what it says or not? Especially if it's not your field of expertise?
If one hasn't studied at the university and read the real scientific papers and learned to compared the good ones to the bad ones in one's own field (and everywhere there are enough bad ones too) my impression one has no chance to be good at recognizing the difference.
And even once one learns to recognize the difference in his own area, he's typically has too much confidence to be able to repeat that in other fields.
So it's really hard. The best bet is really learning to discover what the limits of he fields are, who are real experts in the field, then read what they write etc. It's never simple. But if you're just watching a TV where something is presented as a "debate" learn to recognize what's "behind" the two only people who are shown as two "sides": behind a real scientists could be the whole scientific community, effectively all the experts in their field, and behind the guy who "sounds" better in the show can be simply... money from some specific interest group which finances an "actor" who looks good.
What's however certain is that it was always so: there were always people successfully "selling" as the nonsense as their "knowledge." I'm at the moment reading 1979 book:
"The inferior man's reasons for hating knowledge are not hard to discern. He hates it because it is complex -- because it puts an unbearable burden upon his meager capacity for taking in ideas. Thus his search is always for short cuts. All superstitions are such short cuts. Their aim is to make the unintelligible simple, and even obvious. So on what seem to be higher levels. No man who has not had a long and arduous education can understand even the most elementary concepts of modern pathology. But even a hind at the plow can grasp the theory of chiropractic in two lessons. Hence the vast popularity of chiropractic among the submerged -- and of osteopathy, Christian Science and other such quackeries with it. They are idiotic, but they are simple -- and every man prefers what he can understand to what puzzles and dismays him."
In the article we discuss, it's also a "shortcut" the topic of the book: four colors for people, and "everything is simple, even obvious."
The most important part from the article we comment to is therefore:
"Despite the use of colours, it turned out that the “Surrounded by …” books were not based on Myers-Brigg. Instead, they built on another personality theory, the so-called DiSC model. The most noteworthy outcome of a search through the academic literature on this model was that, despite the fact that the test had been around for fifty years, there was in principle no research on whether or not it worked."
From the books about pseudo-scientific claims presented in media as "real" science I also recommend "The War On Science" by
Shawn Otto:
>If one hasn't studied at the university and read the real scientific papers and learned to compared the good ones to the bad ones in one's own field (and everywhere there are enough bad ones too) my impression one has no chance to be good at recognizing the difference.
True. Reading more papers seems to be more and more important.
>So it's really hard. The best bet is really learning to discover what the limits of he fields are, who are real experts in the field, then read what they write etc. It's never simple. But if you're just watching a TV where something is presented as a "debate" learn to recognize what's "behind" the two only people who are shown as two "sides": behind a real scientists could be the whole scientific community, effectively all the experts in their field, and behind the guy who "sounds" better in the show can be simply... money from some specific interest group which finances an "actor" who looks good.
I see. So basically try to look beyond the curtains even if it's a different field.
And thanks for the recommendations! Both War of Science and Merchants of Doubt look interesting!
>In short, there are definitely enough people who earn money by "selling" falsehoods. It was never an accident.
So people selling falsehoods is not limited to present era eh. I see!
If one hasn't studied at the university and read the real scientific papers and learned to compared the good ones to the bad ones in one's own field (and everywhere there are enough bad ones too) my impression one has no chance to be good at recognizing the difference.
And even once one learns to recognize the difference in his own area, he's typically has too much confidence to be able to repeat that in other fields.
So it's really hard. The best bet is really learning to discover what the limits of he fields are, who are real experts in the field, then read what they write etc. It's never simple. But if you're just watching a TV where something is presented as a "debate" learn to recognize what's "behind" the two only people who are shown as two "sides": behind a real scientists could be the whole scientific community, effectively all the experts in their field, and behind the guy who "sounds" better in the show can be simply... money from some specific interest group which finances an "actor" who looks good.
What's however certain is that it was always so: there were always people successfully "selling" as the nonsense as their "knowledge." I'm at the moment reading 1979 book:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Broca%27s_Brain
and there the same tricks in selling untruths as today were already (unsurprisingly) actual.
Earlier, Asimov also attempted to debunk a lot of intentional distortions of achieved human knowledge in popular media.
Or even earlier, Mencken 1925:
https://web.archive.org/web/20010219062704/http://www.positi...
"The inferior man's reasons for hating knowledge are not hard to discern. He hates it because it is complex -- because it puts an unbearable burden upon his meager capacity for taking in ideas. Thus his search is always for short cuts. All superstitions are such short cuts. Their aim is to make the unintelligible simple, and even obvious. So on what seem to be higher levels. No man who has not had a long and arduous education can understand even the most elementary concepts of modern pathology. But even a hind at the plow can grasp the theory of chiropractic in two lessons. Hence the vast popularity of chiropractic among the submerged -- and of osteopathy, Christian Science and other such quackeries with it. They are idiotic, but they are simple -- and every man prefers what he can understand to what puzzles and dismays him."
In the article we discuss, it's also a "shortcut" the topic of the book: four colors for people, and "everything is simple, even obvious."
The most important part from the article we comment to is therefore:
"Despite the use of colours, it turned out that the “Surrounded by …” books were not based on Myers-Brigg. Instead, they built on another personality theory, the so-called DiSC model. The most noteworthy outcome of a search through the academic literature on this model was that, despite the fact that the test had been around for fifty years, there was in principle no research on whether or not it worked."
From the books about pseudo-scientific claims presented in media as "real" science I also recommend "The War On Science" by Shawn Otto:
https://milkweed.org/book/the-war-on-science
and "Merchants of Doubt" by Naomi Oreskes, Erik M. Conway:
https://www.bloomsbury.com/uk/merchants-of-doubt-97815969161...
In short, there are definitely enough people who earn money by "selling" falsehoods. It was never an accident.