Most desktop Linux users aren't using Wayland yet. In fact insofar as sway a good chunk of hardware that is well supported under Linux will never work in sway.
For it to take over it must be shipped by default by all major distros and people need to have time to upgrade after it becomes the default.
This means switching to Debian 10+, any recent Fedora, Ubuntu 20.04+.
Based on this one would expect the majority of users to be using it by 2025
Sway isn't i3 rewritten it's not even the same developers. I3wm is its own active project with their own developers that will continue indefinitely.
I agree with everything you've said. My point was about who needs to be convinced to use Wayland (not the end users). People will naturally get Wayland when they update their distribution and yes, it will take years.
For it to take over it must be shipped by default by all major distros and people need to have time to upgrade after it becomes the default.
This means switching to Debian 10+, any recent Fedora, Ubuntu 20.04+.
Based on this one would expect the majority of users to be using it by 2025
Sway isn't i3 rewritten it's not even the same developers. I3wm is its own active project with their own developers that will continue indefinitely.