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Define "science". For most topics in economics it's basically impossible to an RCT. You can't say "Let's turn the US into a centrally planned economy, and see what happens." RCT based macroeconomics, or trade economics are basically impossible. Instead people have long relied on observational data, and did the best they could to handle the issues this caused.

RCTs didn't start with Duflo. (Duflo isn't even the first to win for RCTs -- Kahneman and Smith won in 2002 for experiments.) Experimental economics dates back to the 70s, but it always suffered from the same problem as psychology -- most experiments were conducted on students, and the interventions were always small-scale.

RCTs in development economics are much bigger scale because there are rich NGOs willing to spend big money on measuring the efficacy of interventions, and willing to work with economists to do it. This is not without controversy. A development RCT involves an economist from a rich country flying to a poor country, and then running an experiment on the inhabitants of that country. Not everyone thinks that's okay.

The RCTs also rely on the fact that economists come from coun




Define science the usual way, the essence of science is reproducibility: if you can't achieve that you are not practicing science.


Can astronomy reproduce the Big Bang? Can biologists reproduce the Cambrian explosion? Can geologists reproduce end of the Mesozoic Era?

It's harder to know things we can't do experiments, but we can still know them. In economics, there is a rich tradition of relying on "natural experiments", which is where something like a natural disaster or a law change allows researchers to examine the effects. This is how it was shown that the effect of minimum wage increases on employment is very small. The financial crisis falsified an entire school of macroeconomics.




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