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By virtue of a more rapidly increasing population, maybe.

The interesting thing about Japan is the poverty level is estimated to be relatively high. In general we see that crime scales with poverty, but not as much there. That should be subject to more research.


Wealth divide is incredibly low here. Japan’s poverty rate is among the lowest in the world. What are you talking about?


Article by Noah Smith on this. It's way hgher than I would have expected. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-07-30/u-s-ec...


Well that’s a stupid article. The operative words: “Defined by the percentage of the population earning less than half of the median national income”. In an absolute sense, Japan has no poverty.


I've seen estimates ranging from 15% to 19%. That's not low, it's higher than most developed countries.

Seems to me the stabilizing effect of a stagnating population is the main reason.


At the same time, lack of foreign talent caused their innovation to stagnate - as compared to the United States for instance.


Stagnate or stabilize?

History will ultimately be the judge, but I truly worry about the sustainability of many things in the US.

I grew up in a rural area of New York, which is basically rotting away. I worked on a farm as a kid that was continuously operated since the 1680s that is suddenly not viable.

Life is great for my family, thanks to good education, luck, and good decisions, but I worry about my kids’ future.


If your kids going to be a farmer and only a farmer, I think it's quite right to worry about it. Innovation is not constrained in one country - whatever happens elsewhere will be felt, the only difference is where the benefits end up.


Well, everything has trade off.


Exactly. Having a common culture and set of values seems more important to them than innovation.


Which is not necessarily bad thing.


Technically true but kind of loaded statement. For most societies, including the states, immigrants will not increase the crime rate.


I don't know if that's completely true. Aren't many (most?) of the organized crime groups historically immigration-based in the US? The American Mafia was started by Italian immigrants in NYC, MS-13 by El Salvadorian immigrants in Los Angeles, etc.? I mean, we have MS-13 problems even here in Washington DC due to the large El Salvadorian population.

I would wager if Japan allowed as many El Salvadorians into Japan as made it into the US, they would start having MS-13 problems too (but maybe not; Japan authorities pretty much decimated the Yakuza last I read).


The yakuza is still alive and well.[1] They keep a lower profile now than during Japan's boom times, much like the mafia in the US today. I dunno about MS-13 per se, but I've definitely run into an outsized share of sketchy central and south American immigrants in nightclubs in Osaka. A Canadian DJ friend of mine (long-time Osaka resident, like 10+ years) cautioned me to avoid them. They had a reputation for violence, stabbings, etc...

[1]NSFW Google search: "site:tokyoreporter.com yakuza". TokyoReporter is my favorite English-language Japan news source; they cover all the seedy shit like ex-porn stars getting busted for drugs.


They get a lot of play and operate in the open. The KKK and bootleggers of early NASCAR fame were red blooded Americans.


1 out of 8 young people turning 20 in Tokyo were not born in Japan, they have 2.2 million foreigners living in Japan, or 1.76% of the population.


For comparison: Foreign born population

United States 13.7%

Sweden 18.5% [born outside the EU: ~14%]


> If you throw trash on the ground, 100% of the people around you will give you a disapproving look.

http://buzz-plus.com/article/2018/10/29/garbage-shibuya-hall...


Do you have any data supporting your suggestion that areas with more diverse populations tend to be less disapproving of littering?


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I wouldn't rush to dismiss tribalism as a bad thing for society. Homogeneity is like any tradeoff: upsides and downsides. Japan is as homogenous as they come.


I wouldn't rush to assume that immigrants and refugees drive crime.

One thing that hands down drives crime is racist policing.


Haha, it's a just-so story, yeah.




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