Seeing the shape of the slope needed now and comparing it to the shape we have needed in e.g. 2000 and knowing the current political climate in the U.S. makes me very pessimistic that the 2 deg limit will be achieved, and knowing how dramatic e.g. 4 degrees or more are going to be, I doubt anybody can expect much “progress”. More some medieval developments.
The current estimate is +3.2 deg in 2100, but it still assumes that the current actions progress:
The current estimate is +3.2 deg in 2100, but it still assumes that the current actions progress:
https://climateactiontracker.org/global/temperatures/