I disagree and actually think humans are very prone to overestimate how quickly certain technologies will develop. A good example is self-driving cars, which are still years – if not decades – away from being truly production-ready. I'm not even close to being an artificial intelligence expert, but I know its current capabilities are extremely limited and we are nowhere close to having a general AI; we don't even see a feasible theoretical path to get there from where we are today. Getting a computer to conduct abstract reasoning is very hard.
Well that's obviously wrong because some people used to think that a computer would never beat a human at chess. It follows logically that no one can ever overestimate how quickly technology will develop.
The form of your argument is that some people were wrong about a subset of X, therefore the opposite attitude of those people must be true for all of X. That's clearly not a valid argument.
