On: The German Tank Problem

[tyingq]

They could just randomly skip some numbers. That would maintain the XXX to YYY advantage.

[Johnny555 → tyingq]

Does that resolve the problem, or just add another variable to the analysis?

[mattkrause → Johnny555]

Naively, it would inflate the absolute values, but you might be able to correct for it in various ways. Still, knowing that tank production fell 50% is probably useful, even if you don't know what exactly it fell from....

[FrojoS → mattkrause]

You could increase the average spacing when production slows down.