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This analysis totally appeals to my economist brain. However, you would have to look at the risk-adjusted return on your capital investment.

Reading the above does make me wonder whether smugglers like in the Guardian story have access to some sort of dark web insurance policy which pays out if they are caught. My guess is probably yes because the market abhors a vacuum.




> dark web insurance policy which pays out if they are caught

Well, they could now, but I don't really think the market is that mature.

Larger organizations behind drug-peddling conglomerates are adequately hedged and diversified and can withstand a big shipment failing.




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