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This was the argument against PCs too. And in the late 70s I was already using cloud computing (MIT lispms and PARC systems like grapevine) that were not using mainframes. The economics seemed clear, but a variety of path dependence and economy of scale issues meant the mainframe survived quite a while (and is still going strong, but isn't dominant). But we are doing more edge computing than ever before with supercomputers in every pocket, game consoles and the like.

I have also worked in distributed solar. That's why I understand that the existing utility model still has a long way to run. Where I disagree is that there might be an inherent advantage.




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