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In most times and places in the US real estate appreciates slightly more than the rate of inflation at 3-4% nominally. So real estate grows much more slowly than most expect. A primary residence should be seen as the cost of shelter, not an investment, because...

Your real estate appreciation figure doesn't factor in things like: rent (either payed to you if its nor your primary residence or rent you don't have to pay if living in your primary residence) and all the tax breaks associated with home ownership. With those additional sources of income, it's possible for real estate to be competitive with stocks.




It also doesn't factor in home maintenance or transactional costs. It doesn't factor in time required to maintain a home. It doesn't factor in lost opportunities due to the increase in expense and hassle of relocation.

Renters are happier. That is worth something.

https://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/14/realestate/homeownership-...


> It doesn't factor in lost opportunities due to the increase in expense and hassle of relocation.

Selling my residence is so far down my personal list of "frictions to relocation" as to be irrelevant. I hate moving, period. So does my wife.

I also personally do not see having to dispose of a property when moving as that big a deal. Again, that's me.

> Renters are happier. That is worth something.

First off, the article doesn't say that. It says that owners are generally not any happier.

Second, it's one citation. You shouldn't be making absolute statements off one citation.

Third, the overall thrust of the research is the more general "experience > stuff". I find that to be a highly personal decision and not something where population studies can inform the individual.



Not all renters are happier! I will check out the article that prompted this bold statement, though.


> Your real estate appreciation figure doesn't factor in things like

Leveraging other people's money. You can't buy 100k of stocks with only 10-20k, but you can get a mortgage and buy 100k of real estate.

But, if you want to keep it super simple, I think the OP's advice is spot on.


Mortgage interest deduction is no longer deductible for itemized taxes.


That's not even true. It was reduced slightly, which is only relevant for really expensive houses.


However the much higher standard deduction essentially means that most people no longer itemize.


True, but that is not the same as "mortgage interest is no longer deductible".


It is, subject to the overall $10K cap.


You're confusing that with property taxes, which are lumped in with the SALT deductions, which are indeed capped at $10k.

Mortgage interest payments are still fully deductible, up to $750k of principal.




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