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Linus is right that ARM won't win "as long as everybody does cross-development." And that's why ARM will win.

Apple will ship MacBooks on ARM in 2020, which will have comparable performance with superior battery life. Windows-based laptop vendors will switch to ARM to catch up; the desktop market will follow the laptop market, as it already does.

ARM's performance-per-watt advantages already make it a compelling cross-compile target today; when everybody's developing on ARM, it will be a no-brainer.




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