> The model's prediction is just this: if the number of garage competent team members is greater than the number of other team members, then the project will be delivered. Otherwise, the project will fail.
I have seen successful teams when only one person was very good at X and other learned it. And he was NOT in control and people in control weren't technical. If you have at least one component person on the project, time becomes the most important variable.
> think of a historical project where you know the outcomes and can estimate garage competence for each team member and see if it makes the correct prediction.
Sure. Bunch of competent people, but demotivated. Another case: Competent people, but not enough time.
I have seen successful teams when only one person was very good at X and other learned it. And he was NOT in control and people in control weren't technical. If you have at least one component person on the project, time becomes the most important variable.
> think of a historical project where you know the outcomes and can estimate garage competence for each team member and see if it makes the correct prediction.
Sure. Bunch of competent people, but demotivated. Another case: Competent people, but not enough time.