150 IQ is extremely high ~1/1,125 relative to the general population and that score may or may not be that accurate. Which seems to disagree with your suggestion.
Winning a Nobel prize is a highly random process as someone needs to be in an 'open' field ripe for major discovery.
That's what I was thinking. Nobel prize is like a lottery that requires a high IQ and a desire to work in academia and research among other factors in order to buy a ticket.
You also have to be lucky enough not to have contemporaries with equally impressive work in more popular fields.
Winning a Nobel prize is a highly random process as someone needs to be in an 'open' field ripe for major discovery.