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False positives are a thing.



Sure but with 99% accuracy across 3 different locations, the chances are, the suspect is lying.


1) Those tests results would be highly correlated, so you wouldn't necessarily be much more than 99% accurate still.

2) If the prior probability of someone committing a crime on a given night is low, you are in the classical example of false positives doing harm via Bayes rule.




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