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Is this really accurate? So 51% attack on bitcoin is around 100btc? Given the advantage of such an attack, won't more users want to do it? Also, won't nation states easily come in on this and attack the integrity of these coins?



This isn't possible for larger coins like Bitcoin because it assumes you can get a short-term rent of enough hardware to carry out the attack for exactly the amount of time it takes to carry out at the NiceHash market rate. Most of the Bitcoin mining hardware is not available for rent in this way and its owners have a financial incentive not to allow this because it'll wipe out the value of their hardware.


and its owners have a financial incentive not to allow this because it'll wipe out the value of their hardware.

Well they don't have to be on the receiving end of the attack. They can be, you know, on the other end.


Sure, the owners of the mining hardware could be on the other end, but that puts up the cost of the attack substantially - instead of depending on the cost of renting an hour's mining time, it now depends on the total lifetime value of the equipment used. There's also the rather large problem of how they could convert enough double-spent Bitcoins to something else before the price tanks; it'd have to be a very big heist to make the math work out.


Just tanking the price is enough, if you've sold enough bitcoin futures beforehand. I suppose that would put you on the CFTC's radar, though.


That is true.

However it may be the case that a third party holds "owners of the mining hardware" by the proverbial or actual balls. Then the calculus changes.


This is the theoretical cost of a 51% attack if there is enough hashing power available via NiceHash. If the Nicehash-able column is >> 100%, this is very do-able. I go into more detail on the about page [0].

[0] https://www.crypto51.app/about.html




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