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I think that the idea is if you disagree, but what you disagreed with succeeds, then it's difficult because you were proved wrong.



But that is not true. I can say idea X is bad and it can succeed due to any number of reasons. That doesn’t disprove that it is a bad idea (relative to some better idea, let’s say).


If you say "X is bad, it's going to fail", and it succeeds, it certainly doesn't make you look good, and I think that's what the previous comment was getting at.


But it's rarely a "it's going to fail". Normally it's "it'll make more effort for people down the line" or "we'll get more customers if we do X instead".




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