I don't think the connection to the referenced fallacy is nearly strong enough to serve as a QED on its own. It's also seemingly promoted only by one person.
As for modeling real life with simulations, the data exists for every type of accident a human has encountered. If you incorporate such into a simulation, plus randomly vary every free parameter, then your simulation will cover more scenarios than any human driver can possibly experience.
Thus, simulations should be able to help an autonomous vehicle outperform humans by a large margin, which is the only goal that matters.
As for modeling real life with simulations, the data exists for every type of accident a human has encountered. If you incorporate such into a simulation, plus randomly vary every free parameter, then your simulation will cover more scenarios than any human driver can possibly experience.
Thus, simulations should be able to help an autonomous vehicle outperform humans by a large margin, which is the only goal that matters.