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By almost all analysis and objective metrics, the 2007 troop surge worked. Violence went down, insurgency went down, attacks went down, crime went down afterwards.

The surge was enacted with a particular goal: create breathing space to foster political solutions to Iraq conflicts. It has failed. The political solutions never came about.

Beyond that, claims that the surge caused a decrease in violence require evidence. Correlation is not causation. And there are many other reasons that explain a decrease in violence in the same time frame.




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