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As for the long term, I think it's safe to say that robotics and automation will eventually remove entirely the need for human factory workers and (nearly) all manual labor.

Maybe. People are surprisingly cheap in some parts of the world, and robotics are pretty expensive. Even in the future, the raw materials in machinery won't magically get cheaper.

For some industries the upfront costs associated with automation won't be worth it for a long, long time.




Even in the future, the raw materials in machinery won't magically get cheaper.

True, and raw materials will probably get more expensive. Another thing to consider, however, is that newer industrial techniques might not even be employable without the use of machines. For instance, humans can't make processors regardless of how cheaply their willing to be payed.

For some industries the upfront costs associated with automation won't be worth it for a long, long time

Right. It's always going to be a cost benefit analysis and I think that's a fair assessment.




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