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Consider just the launch cost of an Apollo type mission. S-IVB is 110 Mg, the Command/Service module was 30 Mg, and the lunar module was 16 Mg. That gives us about 150 metric tonnes as a reasonable estimate of the payload to LEO needed for a lunar trip.

Right now, you're looking at about $340M (at $2200/kg) on two falcon heavies to boost that.

If we handwave R&D and engineering costs, you're still looking at around $170M per person on the moon.

Of the not-so-many people who can afford that, how many people do you think will actually do so?







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