Let me qualify this a little. I don't mean no keyboards will exist within 6 years, but at around the 6th year mark, the vast majority of tech aware people, like you and me, will refuse to buy a computing device (including desktop PCs) whose primary mode of interaction is through the keyboard/mouse. Rather they will only be interested in touchscreen devices.
But did you try reading and browsing with it for hours a day? I never had such a great reading experience!(;
I don't think it was meant to substitue for writing long texts. However, you can buy the iPad keyboard dock to use the standard Apple keyboard layout. And honestly, after having burned through so many keyboards in my life - these Apple keyboards really get me exited every time I use them!
I agree on the iPad, but I'm sure there will be better typing experiences coming soon. Tactile feedback and flexible touchscreens are two things that I'm sure will play a big part.
I disagree. I don't see much innovation happening in desktop hardware and software in the next 10 years. The keyboard and mouse will still be around; it will be how we define desktop software. There will continue to be new versions of OS X, but there will be no "Mac OS X Touch Screen Edition".
Computing appliances like the iPad will play increasingly important roles in our lives and will completely replace the desktop for many people, but it won't kill the desktop anymore than the GUI killed the command-line. Instead, the Desktop will simply stop being a major source of software innovation.
Let me qualify this a little. I don't mean no keyboards will exist within 6 years, but at around the 6th year mark, the vast majority of tech aware people, like you and me, will refuse to buy a computing device (including desktop PCs) whose primary mode of interaction is through the keyboard/mouse. Rather they will only be interested in touchscreen devices.