The dynamics of the stock market are even more complicated. Say TSLA does hit the $400 then you'll see a bunch of sell orders hitting month old targets. Certain dates when a lot of short/long contracts are resolved (Sept 15th is the next I think? and there is a bunch of call options with a $400 base price) can somewhat have an influence. And of course with a stock like TSLA there might be a lot of people being in the short doing everything they can to get the stock down to make their profit. Analysts are such a tiny part in this game.
Right now the whole tech industry is overheating, just like the dot-com bubble back in the days.
