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It appears that no one has even presented napkin math to justify the price. Total addressable market is interesting, but doesn't even qualify as napkin math without even a rough idea of margins, capital needed, rough growth rates.

I am basically seeing an argument that Tesla is smart and will figure out ways to make money to justify a 50B mcap. That may be true, but I was hoping for more.

I will likely buy puts on this once the squeeze subsides.

All arguments so far I would basically describe as hand-waving which gives me more confidence that the market is too optimistic.

All that said, if you have been long this, congratulations.




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