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While I agree that Twitter / Yelp should be scared (very...very scared,) you forget that Google makes little to no money on all of those things you mention. They are a search company. Facebook stands to be a giant threat to their search business.



It's getting a bit boring to say it, but Google is not a search company. They provide search to sell ads (doesn't matter how they started out), so while I agree with the threat conclusion, I doubt Facebook will create the next general purpose search engine.


It's not a war for search. It's a war for user attention.

Per Alexa, the average FB user spends 30+ mins on FB each day; the average GOOG user spends <10 mins on GOOG. And FB has far more extensive info about each user.

I think the risks to GOOG are generally underestimated. It's going to be a great stock to short within the next 3 years.


It's going to be a great stock to short within the next 3 years.

But then what isn't?




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